Original Article

Simulation of Urban Growth’s Pressure on Urban Blue-Green Space Using the CORINE Database for Kocaeli, Türkiye


Department of City and Regional Planning, Faculty of Engineering and Architecture, Kastamonu, Türkiye

FORESTIST 2024; 74: 9-15
DOI: 10.5152/forestist.2023.22077
Read: 75 Downloads: 64 Published: 21 June 2023

Sustainability of resources and combating global climate change are on the agenda at the beginning of the most fundamental problems based on nature worldwide. Although they cover a small area of the world’s surface, urban growth and its accompanying effects are the main culprits of these problems. Against these problems, blue-green areas are accepted as a fundamental tool of sustainable urban development in the context of nature-based solutions. The research primarily used CORINE land data; classification was made under five primary headings: land cover, urban areas, industrial and commercial areas, forest areas, agricultural areas, and water surfaces. The 2030-year estimation of the fields was made using the cellular automata-Markov chain modeling method. As a result of the research, it has been determined that blue-green spaces are under severe construction pressure from 2006 to 2030. The suitability of the research model has been proven by the kappa-based method using kappa coefficients (Klocation: 0.9338).

Cite this article as: Işınkaralar, O. (2024). Simulation of urban growth’s pressure on urban blue-green space using the CORINE database for Kocaeli, Türkiye. Forestist, 74(1), 9-15

EISSN 2602-4039